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Joel's new book, THE NEXT HUNDRED MILLION: America in 2050 is now available at booksellers everywhere.
Over half the world's population now lives in cities, but is high-density living really how most people want to live?
Listen to Joel discuss city models for the future. Joel joins the conversation approximately 38 minutes into the show.
Travis Vaughn: Joel, you’ve written a great deal about what it takes for America’s cities to flourish. Can you talk about that a bit?
Joel Kotkin: Different cities will flourish differently. The elite ‘luxury cities’- New York, SF, Boston – will do best by keeping some of their middle class and not chasing away business entirely. The aspirational cities – say Houston, Dallas, Charlotte – can grow through being pro-business, relatively affordable and by moving into high value added industries.
In The Next Hundred Million: America in 2050, Joel Kotkin forecasts that the United States will prosper because the country will "maintain a youthful, dynamic demographic" through "a resourceful stream of ever-assimilating immigrants."
Ira Sohn reviews The Next Hundred Million in the latest issue of Foresight Magazine.
"Greenurbia is the suburbs of the future. The suburbs of the 1950s were bedroom communities for people who commuted into the city. Today, there’s much more employment in the suburbs, and the big change is the number of people working full-time or part-time at home. Having people commute from one computer screen to another doesn’t make sense."
Kotkin has a striking ability to envision how global forces will shape daily family life, and his conclusions can be thought-provoking as well as counterintuitive. It's amazing there isn't more public discussion about the enormous changes ahead, and reassuring to have this talented thinker on the case. — Jennifer Ludden, NPR national desk correspondent