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Joel Kotkin News Clips
In his USA Today column, Glenn Instapundit Reynolds looks at Joel Kotkin's new book, The New Class Conflict. Kotkin says the wealth distribution in the U.S., starting with California, is breaking down into a lot of poorish folks and some oligarchs.
Joel recently appeared on the Library of Liberty and Law podcast for an extended discussion of his new book, The New Class Conflict. Visit libertyandlawsite.org to listen.
Some of the best analysis of urban demographic trends can be found regularly at NewGeography.com, a joint venture of Joel Kotkin and Praxis Strategy Group, and an excellent demographic and urban trends resource.
Joel Kotkin details the massive social, economic, and environmental challenges facing most emerging megacities:
Emerging megacities like Kinshasa or Lima do not command important global niches. Their problems are often ignored or minimized by those who inhabit what commentator Rajiv Desai has described as “the VIP zone of cities,” where there is “reliable electric power, adequate water supply, and any sanitation at all.” Outside the zone, Desai notes, even much of the middle class have to “endure inhuman conditions” of congested, cratered roads, unreliable energy, and undrinkable water.
Joel joined Doug McIntyre on LA's KABC to talk about the decline of children in Southern California. Download the file to listen.
Larry Marino hosted Joel recently to talk about the themes from his upcoming book, The New Class Conflict. Download the mp3 below to listen.
Joel recently appeared with Doug McIntyre on KABC Los Angeles to talk about the how the future of the Democratic party might be affected by concerns of social class. Download the file to listen.
Commenting on mayoral assertions that cities are where the action is, Kotkin writes, “It’s hard to underestimate the hubris of this assessment … the vast majority of American demographic growth and job growth continues to go either into the suburban rings or to low-density sprawling regions.”
In 2013, demographer Joel Kotkin warned that California was slipping into a condition of neofeudalism. According to Kotkin, the Golden State, once a citadel of the American middle class, has become splintered into four classes: the oligarchs (the super-wealthy, especially in tech and finance), the clerisy (government regulators, the media elite, and the academy), the yeomanry (the middle class and small-business owners), and the serfs (the working poor and government dependents).
“Large financial institutions have benefited greatly from regulations which guaranteed their survival while allowing for increased concentration of financial assets,” said Joel Kotkin. “Wall Street grandees, many of whom should have spent the past years studying the inside of jail cells … are only bothered by how to spend their ill-gotten earnings.”
Urban thinker and author Joel Kotkin, executive editor of the web site NewGeography.com, believes that Utah creates value through minimal government: “You create a good economic environment for people in your area that is so affordable that the middle-class can still live decently.”
Problem is, a declining birth rate does not bode well for the American labor force or our economy. As an example of what happens when a society gives up on motherhood, demographer Joel Kotkin points to contemporary Japan. Since 1990 the world's third-largest economy has had more people over 65 than under 15. And by 2050 there could be more people over 80 than under 15.
Unless otherwise noted, the following data have been culled by Chapman University Professor Joel Kotkin, and published in the Wall Street Journal, the Orange County Register and elsewhere. (For the record, Kotkin is a self-described "Truman Democrat" who voted for the Democrat governor Jerry Brown of California.)
And it's made worse by the increasing politicization of Silicon Valley, and the transformation of its leaders from rebels into what Joel Kotkin calls "the new oligarchs," people who once talked about technology as liberation, but who now seem more interested in using technology as an instrument of control. It's not just NSA spying; it's that the companies gather data on everyone, with comparatively little legal oversight.
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